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Bayern München
W D W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 3-0
Away

1. FC Köln
L W L D D
1X2 Bayern München 66%
O/U Over 2.5 74%
DC 1X 94%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Bayern München 66% Draw 18% 1. FC Köln 15%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern München and 1. FC Köln?

Our prediction for the Bayern München–1. FC Köln match is: Bayern München to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Bayern München to win (66% confidence); over 2.5 goals (74% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Bayern München

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bayern München scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

1. FC Köln

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, 1. FC Köln scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Bayern München scored 3.00 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; 1. FC Köln scored 0.80 and conceded 1.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, H. Kane contributed 2 goal(s) and 5 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.57/10 across 5 rated appearances. In a recent recorded appearance, R. Ache registered 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s).

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Bayern München records a mean of 6.90/10 versus 6.66/10 for 1. FC Köln.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists F. Funkel as coach of 1. FC Köln. The latest recorded formations are Bayern München in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 3, 2026) and 1. FC Köln in 4-4-2 (Nov 1, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Bayern München averaged 63.5% possession and 22.4 shots per match (8.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, 1. FC Köln averaged 51.6% possession and 15.4 shots (4.7 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Bayern München recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.33 points, 4.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, 1. FC Köln recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 0.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at Allianz Arena (Munich).

Recent results show that Bayern München have a stronger record at home than away: 4 wins in 6 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 2.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 2.04 — 1.36 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

152%Bayern München
X23%Draw
225%1. FC Köln
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 26%U 74%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Bayern München
More model-supported option Over 0.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bayern München.

Possible alternative Under 3.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 87%U 13%
1.5O 60%U 40%
2.5O 33%U 67%
3.5O 15%U 85%
1. FC Köln
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for 1. FC Köln.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Bayern München26%
1. FC Köln13%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Bayern München22%
1. FC Köln9%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Bayern München68%
1. FC Köln32%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Bayern München
-1.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
-1W 31%P 21%L 48%
-0.5W 52%P 0%L 48%
0W 52%P 23%L 25%
+0.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
+1W 75%P 14%L 11%
+1.5W 89%P 0%L 11%
1. FC Köln
-1.5W 11%P 0%L 89%
-1W 11%P 14%L 75%
-0.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
0W 25%P 23%L 52%
+0.5W 48%P 0%L 52%
+1W 48%P 21%L 31%
+1.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.99%
#22-19.42%
#32-06.91%
#42-26.42%
#53-16.39%
Combined Top 539.13%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Bayern München + BTTS31%
1. FC Köln + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS19%

Bayern München Season

Rank#1
Points18
Matches Left26

1. FC Köln Season

Rank#14
Points9
Matches Left26

Bayern München Last 5

Atletico Madrid 0 - 2
Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2
SC Freiburg 1 - 3
Arsenal 2 - 2
RB Leipzig 6 - 1

1. FC Köln Last 5

Union Berlin 1 - 1
FC Schalke 04 0 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 1
Hamburger SV 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Bayern München
D W W D W
1. FC Köln
D D L W L

Bayern München Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
5.00
Goals scored20
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

1. FC Köln Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.75
Goals scored3
Goals conceded8
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayern München
3.40
1. FC Köln
0.85

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln is a Bundesliga football match on November 20, 2026 at Allianz Arena. Recent form is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWDW) for Bayern München and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DDLWL) for 1. FC Köln. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 20 Nov 2026
📍 Allianz Arena

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, Bayern München is currently #1 with 18 points from 8 matches, while 1. FC Köln is #14 with 9 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Bayern München at 5.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus 1. FC Köln at 0.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.40 for Bayern München and 0.85 for 1. FC Köln.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.