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Estac Troyes
L L L D W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Le Havre
L L L L L
1X2 Estac Troyes 60%
O/U Over 2.5 71%
DC X2 65%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Estac Troyes 60% Draw 17% Le Havre 24%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Estac Troyes and Le Havre?

Our prediction for the Estac Troyes–Le Havre match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Estac Troyes to win (60% confidence); Le Havre to win or draw (65% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Estac Troyes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Estac Troyes scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

Le Havre

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Le Havre scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 3.20 per match.

Players to watch

In a recent recorded appearance, I. Boura registered 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Maja contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.36/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Estac Troyes records a mean of 6.58/10 versus 6.29/10 for Le Havre.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists D. Guion as coach of Estac Troyes. The latest recorded formations are Estac Troyes in 4-3-3 (Oct 31, 2026) and Le Havre in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 30, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Estac Troyes averaged 39.3% possession and 14.7 shots per match (3.7 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 7 matches, Le Havre averaged 47.1% possession and 16.9 shots (5.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Estac Troyes recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.75 points, 1.25 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Le Havre recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 1.50 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes).

Estac Troyes's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 3 defeats in 4 home matches, averaging 0.8 points per home match compared with 1.0 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.67 — 1.63 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Estac Troyes
X24%Draw
237%Le Havre
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Estac Troyes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Estac Troyes.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Le Havre
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Le Havre.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Estac Troyes20%
Le Havre19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Estac Troyes15%
Le Havre15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Estac Troyes51%
Le Havre49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Estac Troyes
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 24%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Le Havre
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 24%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.81%
#22-18.35%
#31-28.18%
#42-26.81%
#51-05.59%
Combined Top 539.74%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Estac Troyes + BTTS23%
Le Havre + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Estac Troyes Season

Rank#16
Points8
Matches Left25

Le Havre Season

Rank#18
Points2
Matches Left25

Estac Troyes Last 5

Le Mans 2 - 0
Toulouse 0 - 0
Lens 1 - 3
Marseille 0 - 2
Angers 2 - 0

Le Havre Last 5

Paris Saint Germain 1 - 5
Marseille 4 - 3
Auxerre 1 - 3
Lille 1 - 0
Toulouse 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Estac Troyes
L L L D W
Le Havre
L L L L L

Estac Troyes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded11
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.75

Le Havre Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded9
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.25

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estac Troyes
1.78
Le Havre
1.96

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre is a Ligue 1 football match on November 20, 2026 at Stade de l'Aube. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLLDW) for Estac Troyes and 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for Le Havre. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 20 Nov 2026
📍 Stade de l'Aube

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Estac Troyes is currently #16 with 8 points from 9 matches, while Le Havre is #18 with 2 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Estac Troyes at 1.25 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per home match, versus Le Havre at 1.50 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.78 for Estac Troyes and 1.96 for Le Havre.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.