What is the prediction for the football match between Monza and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Monza–Atalanta match is: Monza to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Atalanta to win (47% confidence); over 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)
Monza
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Monza scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.
Atalanta
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Atalanta scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Monza scored 1.80 and conceded 2.40 per match across 5 covered games; Atalanta scored 2.20 and conceded 2.60 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Gustavo Varela contributed 5 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.62/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Krstović contributed 5 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.66/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Atalanta records a mean of 6.50/10 versus 6.09/10 for Monza.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list A. Nesta for Monza and I. Juric for Atalanta. The latest recorded formations are Monza in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 31, 2026) and Atalanta in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 2, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Monza averaged 44.1% possession and 12.5 shots per match (5.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Atalanta averaged 47.3% possession and 15.5 shots (5.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Monza recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.50 points, 2.25 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Atalanta recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Brianteo (Monza).
Recent results show that Monza have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 1.5 points per home match compared with 0.2 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.