OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
1X2 Manchester City 52%
O/U Under 2.5 67%
DC X2 91%
BTTS Yes 55%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Nottingham Forest 23% Draw 25% Manchester City 52%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City?

Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest–Manchester City match is: Manchester City to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Manchester City to win (52% confidence); under 2.5 goals (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (55% confidence)

Nottingham Forest

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nottingham Forest scored an average of 0.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Manchester City

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Manchester City scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Nottingham Forest scored 0.40 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Manchester City scored 2.40 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Williams contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.74/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, P. Foden contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.42/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Manchester City records a mean of 6.66/10 versus 6.38/10 for Nottingham Forest.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list S. Dyche for Nottingham Forest and Guardiola for Manchester City. The latest recorded formations are Nottingham Forest in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 31, 2026) and Manchester City in 4-1-4-1 (Nov 4, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Nottingham Forest averaged 49.0% possession and 18.3 shots per match (3.7 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, Manchester City averaged 62.2% possession and 16.6 shots (6.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Nottingham Forest recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.33 points, 0.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Manchester City recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in 6 matches, averaging 2.50 points, 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Premier League fixture takes place at City Ground (Nottingham).

Nottingham Forest's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 3 home matches, averaging 0.3 points per home match compared with 1.0 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.14 — 1.56 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

127%Nottingham Forest
X27%Draw
246%Manchester City
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes55%
No46%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 76%U 24%
O/U 2.5O 50%U 50%
O/U 3.5O 28%U 72%
O/U 4.5O 14%U 86%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Nottingham Forest
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Nottingham Forest.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 89%

A different goal line with 89% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 68%U 32%
1.5O 32%U 68%
2.5O 11%U 89%
3.5O 3%U 97%
Manchester City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Manchester City.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Nottingham Forest21%
Manchester City32%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Nottingham Forest14%
Manchester City24%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Nottingham Forest37%
Manchester City63%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Nottingham Forest
-1.5W 11%P 0%L 89%
-1W 11%P 16%L 73%
-0.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
0W 27%P 27%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 22%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Manchester City
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 22%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 27%L 27%
+0.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
+1W 73%P 16%L 11%
+1.5W 89%P 0%L 11%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.88%
#20-19.78%
#31-29.28%
#40-28.14%
#50-07.40%
Combined Top 547.48%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Nottingham Forest + BTTS14%
Manchester City + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS19%

Nottingham Forest Season

Rank#19
Points6
Matches Left29

Manchester City Season

Rank#2
Points21
Matches Left29

Nottingham Forest Last 5

Brentford 2 - 0
Ipswich 1 - 1
Arsenal 0 - 1
Crystal Palace 3 - 1
Coventry 0 - 1

Manchester City Last 5

RB Leipzig 2 - 3
Brighton 0 - 1
Aston Villa 2 - 1
AEK Athens FC 5 - 1
Ipswich 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest: 1 Draws: 1 Manchester City: 3
2026 Manchester City 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest
2025 Nottingham Forest 1 - 2 Manchester City
2025 Nottingham Forest 0 - 2 Manchester City
2025 Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Manchester City
2024 Manchester City 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest

Form Analysis

Nottingham Forest
L D L L L
Manchester City
L L W W W

Nottingham Forest Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.00
Goals scored0
Goals conceded3
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75

Manchester City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored9
Goals conceded3
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingham Forest
0.43
Manchester City
1.60

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City is a Premier League football match on November 7, 2026 at The City Ground. Recent form is 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: LDLLL) for Nottingham Forest and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LLWWW) for Manchester City. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 The City Ground

Standings & Context

In the Premier League standings, Nottingham Forest is currently #19 with 6 points from 9 matches, while Manchester City is #2 with 21 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Nottingham Forest won 1, 1 were drawn and Manchester City won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Nottingham Forest at 0.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per home match, versus Manchester City at 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.43 for Nottingham Forest and 1.60 for Manchester City.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.