What is the prediction for the football match between Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Stade Brestois 29–Lyon match is: Stade Brestois 29 to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Stade Brestois 29 to win (51% confidence); over 1.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Stade Brestois 29
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Stade Brestois 29 scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
Lyon
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lyon scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Stade Brestois 29 scored 2.00 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Lyon scored 1.00 and conceded 1.40 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Ajorque contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.29/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, C. Tolisso contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.31/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists Paulo Fonseca as coach of Lyon. The latest recorded formations are Stade Brestois 29 in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 2, 2026) and Lyon in 4-3-3 (Nov 5, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Stade Brestois 29 averaged 45.6% possession and 13.6 shots per match (5.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 10 matches, Lyon averaged 51.0% possession and 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Stade Brestois 29 recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Lyon recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.40 points, 0.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Stade Francis-Le-Blé (Brest).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Stade Brestois 29: 1.0 points per home match compared with 1.8 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.