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VfB Stuttgart
L D L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Werder Bremen
W D D W W
1X2 Werder Bremen 41%
O/U Over 2.5 73%
DC 1X 66%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
VfB Stuttgart 33% Draw 26% Werder Bremen 41%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen?

Our prediction for the VfB Stuttgart–Werder Bremen match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Werder Bremen to win (41% confidence); VfB Stuttgart to win or draw (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

VfB Stuttgart

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, VfB Stuttgart scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Werder Bremen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Werder Bremen scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen average 3.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Demirović contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.10/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Füllkrug contributed 7 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.94/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Werder Bremen records a mean of 6.76/10 versus 6.45/10 for VfB Stuttgart.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list S. Hoeneb for VfB Stuttgart and O. Werner for Werder Bremen. The latest recorded formations are VfB Stuttgart in 3-4-1-2 (Nov 3, 2026) and Werder Bremen in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, VfB Stuttgart averaged 56.5% possession and 16.9 shots per match (5.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Werder Bremen averaged 45.4% possession and 15.7 shots (7.1 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, VfB Stuttgart recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.40 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. Away from home, Werder Bremen recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.25 points, 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at MHP Arena (Stuttgart).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for VfB Stuttgart: 1.4 points per home match compared with 1.3 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.74 — 1.61 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%VfB Stuttgart
X24%Draw
235%Werder Bremen
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

VfB Stuttgart
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for VfB Stuttgart.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Werder Bremen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Werder Bremen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

VfB Stuttgart20%
Werder Bremen17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

VfB Stuttgart16%
Werder Bremen13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

VfB Stuttgart54%
Werder Bremen46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

VfB Stuttgart
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Werder Bremen
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.58%
#22-18.54%
#31-27.89%
#42-26.87%
#51-05.55%
Combined Top 539.43%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

VfB Stuttgart + BTTS25%
Werder Bremen + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

VfB Stuttgart Season

Rank#11
Points9
Matches Left26

Werder Bremen Season

Rank#5
Points15
Matches Left26

VfB Stuttgart Last 5

Galatasaray 2 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 4
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 3
Atletico Madrid 1 - 1
Hamburger SV 1 - 0

Werder Bremen Last 5

1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 0
FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3
SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2
FC Augsburg 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart: 0 Draws: 2 Werder Bremen: 3
2026 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Werder Bremen
2025 Werder Bremen 0 - 4 VfB Stuttgart
2025 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 Werder Bremen
2024 Werder Bremen 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart
2024 Werder Bremen 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart

Form Analysis

VfB Stuttgart
W L L W L
Werder Bremen
W W D D W

VfB Stuttgart Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded5
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Werder Bremen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded9
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.25

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

VfB Stuttgart
2.04
Werder Bremen
1.78

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen is a Bundesliga football match on November 7, 2026 at MHPArena. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLWL) for VfB Stuttgart and 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDDW) for Werder Bremen. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 MHPArena

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, VfB Stuttgart is currently #11 with 9 points from 8 matches, while Werder Bremen is #5 with 15 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: VfB Stuttgart won 0, 2 were drawn and Werder Bremen won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows VfB Stuttgart at 2.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus Werder Bremen at 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.04 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.78 for Werder Bremen.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.