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Vitesse
D L W L D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

De Graafschap
D W L D W
1X2 Vitesse 39%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC X2 65%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Vitesse 39% Draw 26% De Graafschap 35%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Vitesse and De Graafschap?

Our prediction for the Vitesse–De Graafschap match is: De Graafschap to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Vitesse to win (39% confidence); over 2.5 goals (60% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

Vitesse

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Vitesse scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

De Graafschap

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, De Graafschap scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Vitesse scored 0.80 and conceded 1.40 per match across 5 covered games; De Graafschap scored 1.60 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Bannis contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.84/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Warmerdam contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.16/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists M. Dijkhuizen as coach of De Graafschap. The latest recorded formations are Vitesse in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 2, 2026) and De Graafschap in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 30, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Vitesse averaged 44.6% possession and 13.4 shots per match (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 7 matches, De Graafschap averaged 53.0% possession and 13.3 shots (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Vitesse recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match. Away from home, De Graafschap recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.33 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at GelreDome (Arnhem).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Vitesse: 1.3 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.59 — 1.56 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Vitesse
X25%Draw
237%De Graafschap
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Vitesse
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Vitesse.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
De Graafschap
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for De Graafschap.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Vitesse21%
De Graafschap20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Vitesse16%
De Graafschap15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Vitesse51%
De Graafschap49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Vitesse
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
De Graafschap
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.60%
#22-18.42%
#31-28.27%
#42-26.57%
#51-06.08%
Combined Top 540.94%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Vitesse + BTTS22%
De Graafschap + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Vitesse Season

Rank#15
Points0
Matches Left38

De Graafschap Season

Rank#1
Points0
Matches Left38

Vitesse Last 5

Jong Ajax 1 - 1
Emmen 0 - 2
FC Eindhoven 0 - 1
FC Volendam 2 - 0
NAC Breda 2 - 2

De Graafschap Last 5

FC Volendam 1 - 2
Waalwijk 1 - 1
Jong Ajax 2 - 1
Jong Utrecht 2 - 1
FC Eindhoven 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Vitesse: 3 Draws: 0 De Graafschap: 2
2026 De Graafschap 1 - 4 Vitesse
2025 Vitesse 1 - 2 De Graafschap
2025 Vitesse 2 - 0 De Graafschap
2024 De Graafschap 3 - 1 Vitesse
2019 Vitesse 2 - 0 De Graafschap

Form Analysis

Vitesse
D L W L D
De Graafschap
D W L D W

Vitesse Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored5
Goals conceded5
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

De Graafschap Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored5
Goals conceded5
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitesse
1.50
De Graafschap
1.63

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Vitesse vs De Graafschap is a Football football match on November 8, 2026 at GelreDome. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DLWLD) for Vitesse and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWLDW) for De Graafschap. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 8 Nov 2026
📍 GelreDome

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Vitesse is currently #15 with 0 points from 0 matches, while De Graafschap is #1 with 0 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: Vitesse won 3, 0 were drawn and De Graafschap won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Vitesse at 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus De Graafschap at 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.50 for Vitesse and 1.63 for De Graafschap.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.