What is the prediction for the football match between Alverca and Casa Pia?
Our prediction for the Alverca–Casa Pia match is: Casa Pia to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Casa Pia to win (42% confidence); under 2.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: no (46% confidence)
Alverca
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Alverca scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.
Casa Pia
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Casa Pia scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Alverca scored 1.60 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Casa Pia scored 1.00 and conceded 1.60 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Chiquinho contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.08/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Ofori contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.75/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list Leandro Pires for Alverca and Alexandre Santana for Casa Pia. The latest recorded formations are Alverca in 3-4-3 (Nov 2, 2026) and Casa Pia in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 30, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Alverca averaged 37.0% possession and 11.8 shots per match (4.2 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 6 matches, Casa Pia averaged 38.5% possession and 10.0 shots (3.2 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Alverca recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Casa Pia recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in 3 matches, averaging 2.33 points, 1.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Primeira Liga fixture takes place at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca (Alverca do Ribatejo).
Alverca's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 4 home matches, averaging 1.0 points per home match compared with 2.0 away.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.