What is the prediction for the football match between AS Roma and Sassuolo?
Our prediction for the AS Roma–Sassuolo match is: AS Roma to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
AS Roma to win (62% confidence); over 2.5 goals (74% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)
AS Roma
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, AS Roma scored an average of 3.60 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.
Sassuolo
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sassuolo scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 3.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): AS Roma scored 3.60 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Sassuolo scored 1.40 and conceded 3.40 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Malen contributed 4 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.40/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Laurienté contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.92/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, AS Roma records a mean of 6.67/10 versus 6.29/10 for Sassuolo.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists G. Gasperini as coach of AS Roma. The latest recorded formations are AS Roma in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 3, 2026) and Sassuolo in 4-3-3 (Nov 2, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, AS Roma averaged 55.9% possession and 17.3 shots per match (5.9 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Sassuolo averaged 48.9% possession and 11.6 shots (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.
Home and away performance
In 6 recent home matches, AS Roma recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.17 points, 2.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Sassuolo recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 1.25 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Olimpico (Rome).
Recent results show that AS Roma have a stronger record at home than away: 4 wins in 6 home matches, averaging 2.2 points per home match compared with 1.7 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.