What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth–Nottingham Forest match is: Bournemouth to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Bournemouth to win (65% confidence); over 1.5 goals (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Bournemouth
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 0.20 per match.
Nottingham Forest
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Bournemouth scored 2.60 and conceded 0.20 per match across 5 covered games; Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.60 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Evanilson contributed 4 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.98/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Delap contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.66/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Bournemouth records a mean of 6.91/10 versus 6.43/10 for Nottingham Forest.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists S. Dyche as coach of Nottingham Forest. The latest recorded formations are Bournemouth in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 5, 2026) and Nottingham Forest in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Bournemouth averaged 53.6% possession and 16.9 shots per match (6.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Nottingham Forest averaged 45.6% possession and 17.4 shots (3.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 7 recent home matches, Bournemouth recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.86 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per match. Away from home, Nottingham Forest recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Premier League fixture takes place at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Bournemouth: 2.0 points per home match compared with 1.8 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.