OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
1X2 Union St. Gilloise 54%
O/U Over 1.5 77%
DC X2 81%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Celta Vigo 23% Draw 23% Union St. Gilloise 54%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Celta Vigo Union St. Gilloise
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90' FT Celta Vigo · 6.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 6.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 10.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 10.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 14.0' · 1.75 Union St. Gilloise · 14.0' · 1 Celta Vigo · 18.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 18.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 22.0' · 1 Union St. Gilloise · 22.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 26.0' · 1 Union St. Gilloise · 26.0' · 1 Celta Vigo · 30.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 30.0' · 1 Celta Vigo · 33.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 33.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 38.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 38.0' · 5.35 Celta Vigo · 42.0' · 1.1 Union St. Gilloise · 42.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 46.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 46.0' · 2 Celta Vigo · 45.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 45.0' · 1 Celta Vigo · 45.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 45.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 45.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 45.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 47.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 47.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 51.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 51.0' · 2.25 Celta Vigo · 55.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 55.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 59.0' · 3.35 Union St. Gilloise · 59.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 63.0' · 3.25 Union St. Gilloise · 63.0' · 1 Celta Vigo · 67.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 67.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 71.0' · 1 Union St. Gilloise · 71.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 75.0' · 1 Union St. Gilloise · 75.0' · 1 Celta Vigo · 79.0' · 6.6 Union St. Gilloise · 79.0' · 2.25 Celta Vigo · 87.0' · 2.2 Union St. Gilloise · 87.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 91.0' · 6.55 Union St. Gilloise · 91.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 94.0' · 5.2 Union St. Gilloise · 94.0' · 0 Celta Vigo · 90.0' · 0 Union St. Gilloise · 90.0' · 0 Goal · 11' · Pablo Durán Fernández Normal GoalG Goal · 35' · Besfort Zeneli Normal GoalG Goal · 49' · Besfort Zeneli Normal GoalG Substitution · 60' · Aleix Febas Iago Aspas ↔ Substitution · 60' · Hugo Alvarez Antunez Ilaix Moriba ↔ Substitution · 66' · Adem Zorgane Dylan Aquino ↔ Substitution · 66' · Kevin Rodriguez Denzel De Roeve ↔ Card · 71' · Guilherme Smith C Substitution · 71' · Williot Swedberg Couhaib Driouech ↔ VAR review · 78' · Relebohile Mofokeng Penalty confirmedVAR Missed penalty · 80' · Besfort Zeneli Missed PenaltyPK× Substitution · 81' · Javier Rueda García Ferran Jutglà ↔ Substitution · 81' · Hugo Burcio Andrés Antañón Vieites ↔ Substitution · 81' · Guilherme Smith Ilan Hurtevent ↔ Substitution · 81' · Nikki Havenaar Ross Sykes ↔ Substitution · 86' · Relebohile Mofokeng Darius Olaru ↔ Card · 90' · Pablo Durán Fernández C

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 09:57 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.36 — 1.63 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

131%Celta Vigo
X26%Draw
243%Union St. Gilloise
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Celta Vigo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Celta Vigo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Union St. Gilloise
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Union St. Gilloise.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Celta Vigo20%
Union St. Gilloise26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Celta Vigo14%
Union St. Gilloise20%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Celta Vigo42%
Union St. Gilloise58%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Celta Vigo
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 26%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 21%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Union St. Gilloise
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 21%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 26%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.00%
#21-29.06%
#32-17.57%
#40-17.56%
#50-26.66%
Combined Top 542.85%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Celta Vigo + BTTS17%
Union St. Gilloise + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

11' ⚽ Pablo Durán Fernández
35' ⚽ Besfort Zeneli
49' ⚽ Besfort Zeneli
60' 🔄 In: Iago Aspas
60' 🔄 In: Ilaix Moriba
66' 🔄 In: Dylan Aquino
66' 🔄 In: Denzel De Roeve
71' 🟥 Guilherme Smith
71' 🔄 In: Couhaib Driouech
78' ⚽
80' ⚽ Besfort Zeneli
81' 🔄 In: Ferran Jutglà
81' 🔄 In: Andrés Antañón Vieites
81' 🔄 In: Ilan Hurtevent
81' 🔄 In: Ross Sykes
86' 🔄 In: Darius Olaru
90' 🟥 Pablo Durán Fernández

Lineups

Celta Vigo Home
  • I. Radu
  • Javi Rodríguez
  • Yoel Lago
  • Marcos Alonso
  • Javi Rueda
  • Aleix Febas
  • H. Burcio
  • Sergio Carreira
  • Hugo Álvarez
  • Pablo Durán
  • W. Swedberg
Union St. Gilloise Away
  • H. Koffi
  • N. Chibani
  • M. Sylla
  • N. Havenaar
  • L. Patris
  • K. Van de Perre
  • A. Zorgane
  • Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
  • R. Mofokeng
  • B. Zeneli
  • K. Rodríguez

Celta Vigo Season

Rank#27
Points3
Matches Left34

Union St. Gilloise Season

Rank#4
Points10
Matches Left34

Celta Vigo Last 5

Celtic 1 - 2
Juventus 1 - 2

Union St. Gilloise Last 5

Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 - 0
Real Sociedad 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Celta Vigo
L W L L
Union St. Gilloise
W W D W

Celta Vigo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored2
Goals conceded4
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Union St. Gilloise Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored5
Goals conceded1
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.50

Match Statistics

13Shots15
4Shots on Target3
11Corners1
58%Possession42%
1Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo
0.94
Union St. Gilloise
1.82

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise is a Europa League football match on November 5, 2026 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLL) for Celta Vigo and 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDW) for Union St. Gilloise. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Celta Vigo is currently #27 with 3 points from 4 matches, while Union St. Gilloise is #4 with 10 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Celta Vigo at 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Union St. Gilloise at 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.94 for Celta Vigo and 1.82 for Union St. Gilloise. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 1 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.