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Houston Dynamo
D D D W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

St. Louis City
D L L L L
1X2 Houston Dynamo 50%
O/U Over 1.5 78%
DC 1X 65%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Houston Dynamo 50% Draw 23% St. Louis City 26%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City?

Our prediction for the Houston Dynamo–St. Louis City match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Houston Dynamo to win (50% confidence); Houston Dynamo to win or draw (65% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Houston Dynamo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Houston Dynamo scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

St. Louis City

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, St. Louis City scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City average 2.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, Guilherme contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.69/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, Jeong Sang-Bin contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.75/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Houston Dynamo records a mean of 6.58/10 versus 6.39/10 for St. Louis City.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Paulo Nagamura as coach of Houston Dynamo. The latest recorded formations are Houston Dynamo in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 2, 2026) and St. Louis City in 3-4-1-2 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Houston Dynamo averaged 50.9% possession and 11.4 shots per match (3.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 11 matches, St. Louis City averaged 55.7% possession and 12.0 shots (6.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Houston Dynamo recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.17 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per match. Away from home, St. Louis City recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.40 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at BBVA Compass Stadium (Houston).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Houston Dynamo: 1.2 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.54 — 1.52 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Houston Dynamo
X25%Draw
237%St. Louis City
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Houston Dynamo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Houston Dynamo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
St. Louis City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for St. Louis City.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Houston Dynamo22%
St. Louis City21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Houston Dynamo17%
St. Louis City16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Houston Dynamo51%
St. Louis City49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Houston Dynamo
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
St. Louis City
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.77%
#22-18.44%
#31-28.31%
#41-06.65%
#50-16.54%
Combined Top 541.71%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Houston Dynamo + BTTS21%
St. Louis City + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Houston Dynamo Season

Rank#5
Points51
Matches Left5

St. Louis City Season

Rank#4
Points51
Matches Left5

Houston Dynamo Last 5

Portland Timbers 3 - 1
Seattle Sounders 0 - 1
Minnesota United FC 0 - 0
FC Dallas 2 - 2
San Diego 3 - 3

St. Louis City Last 5

San Diego 0 - 1
Portland Timbers 2 - 3
Real Salt Lake 3 - 0
Minnesota United FC 3 - 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

Houston Dynamo: 2 Draws: 1 St. Louis City: 2
2026 St. Louis City 2 - 1 Houston Dynamo
2026 St. Louis City 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo
2025 St. Louis City 2 - 3 Houston Dynamo
2025 Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 St. Louis City
2024 St. Louis City 3 - 0 Houston Dynamo

Form Analysis

Houston Dynamo
L W D D D
St. Louis City
L L L L D

Houston Dynamo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.19
Goals scored19
Goals conceded14
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.88

St. Louis City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.38
Goals scored22
Goals conceded25
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.56

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Houston Dynamo
1.43
St. Louis City
1.37

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Shell Energy Stadium. Recent form is 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDDD) for Houston Dynamo and 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: LLLLD) for St. Louis City. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Shell Energy Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Houston Dynamo is currently #5 with 51 points from 33 matches, while St. Louis City is #4 with 51 points from 33. Recent head-to-head history: Houston Dynamo won 2, 1 were drawn and St. Louis City won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Houston Dynamo at 1.19 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per home match, versus St. Louis City at 1.38 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.43 for Houston Dynamo and 1.37 for St. Louis City.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.