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1. FC Köln
L W L D D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Bayer Leverkusen
W W L L L
1X2 1. FC Köln 62%
O/U Over 2.5 61%
DC 1X 65%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
1. FC Köln 62% Draw 18% Bayer Leverkusen 20%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between 1. FC Köln and Bayer Leverkusen?

Our prediction for the 1. FC Köln–Bayer Leverkusen match is: 1. FC Köln to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

1. FC Köln to win (62% confidence); over 2.5 goals (61% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

1. FC Köln

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, 1. FC Köln scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Bayer Leverkusen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bayer Leverkusen scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): 1. FC Köln scored 0.80 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Bayer Leverkusen scored 1.20 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

In a recent recorded appearance, R. Ache registered 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Across 5 recent recorded appearances, P. Schick contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.17/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, 1. FC Köln records a mean of 6.66/10 versus 6.32/10 for Bayer Leverkusen.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list F. Funkel for 1. FC Köln and K. Hjulmand for Bayer Leverkusen. The latest recorded formations are 1. FC Köln in 4-4-2 (Nov 1, 2026) and Bayer Leverkusen in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 5, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, 1. FC Köln averaged 51.6% possession and 15.4 shots per match (4.7 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 10 matches, Bayer Leverkusen averaged 58.3% possession and 19.5 shots (7.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, 1. FC Köln recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Bayer Leverkusen recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.67 points, 2.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne).

Recent results show that 1. FC Köln have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.0 points per home match compared with 0.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.61 — 1.57 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%1. FC Köln
X25%Draw
237%Bayer Leverkusen
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

1. FC Köln
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for 1. FC Köln.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Bayer Leverkusen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bayer Leverkusen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

1. FC Köln21%
Bayer Leverkusen20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

1. FC Köln16%
Bayer Leverkusen15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

1. FC Köln51%
Bayer Leverkusen49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

1. FC Köln
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Bayer Leverkusen
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.33%
#22-18.43%
#31-28.25%
#42-26.62%
#51-06.08%
Combined Top 540.71%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

1. FC Köln + BTTS22%
Bayer Leverkusen + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

1. FC Köln Season

Rank#13
Points9
Matches Left26

Bayer Leverkusen Season

Rank#6
Points13
Matches Left26

1. FC Köln Last 5

Union Berlin 1 - 1
FC Schalke 04 0 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 1
Hamburger SV 2 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen Last 5

Marseille 0 - 1
VfB Stuttgart 2 - 4
1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0
OFI 0 - 2
SC Freiburg 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

1. FC Köln: 0 Draws: 0 Bayer Leverkusen: 5
2026 1. FC Köln 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen
2025 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 1. FC Köln
2025 Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 2 1. FC Köln
2024 1. FC Köln 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen
2023 Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0 1. FC Köln

Form Analysis

1. FC Köln
D D L W L
Bayer Leverkusen
L L W W W

1. FC Köln Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Bayer Leverkusen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored8
Goals conceded11
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.75

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

1. FC Köln
1.62
Bayer Leverkusen
1.53

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen is a Bundesliga football match on November 8, 2026 at RheinEnergieStadion. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DDLWL) for 1. FC Köln and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LLWWW) for Bayer Leverkusen. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 8 Nov 2026
📍 RheinEnergieStadion

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, 1. FC Köln is currently #13 with 9 points from 8 matches, while Bayer Leverkusen is #6 with 13 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: 1. FC Köln won 0, 0 were drawn and Bayer Leverkusen won 5 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows 1. FC Köln at 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Bayer Leverkusen at 2.00 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.62 for 1. FC Köln and 1.53 for Bayer Leverkusen.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.