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Auxerre

L W D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Paris FC

W L W L W
1X2 Auxerre 39%
O/U Over 1.5 79%
DC 1X 65%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Auxerre 39% Draw 27% Paris FC 34%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Auxerre Paris FC
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90' FT Auxerre · 12.0' · 0 Paris FC · 12.0' · 0 Auxerre · 15.0' · 0 Paris FC · 15.0' · 0 Auxerre · 20.0' · 0 Paris FC · 20.0' · 0 Auxerre · 24.0' · 1 Paris FC · 24.0' · 0 Auxerre · 30.0' · 0 Paris FC · 30.0' · 0 Auxerre · 33.0' · 0 Paris FC · 33.0' · 0 Auxerre · 38.0' · 0 Paris FC · 38.0' · 2 Auxerre · 42.0' · 2.25 Paris FC · 42.0' · 0 Auxerre · 45.0' · 0 Paris FC · 45.0' · 0 Auxerre · 45.0' · 0 Paris FC · 45.0' · 0 Auxerre · 45.0' · 0 Paris FC · 45.0' · 0 Auxerre · 47.0' · 0 Paris FC · 47.0' · 0 Auxerre · 51.0' · 2.25 Paris FC · 51.0' · 3.35 Auxerre · 55.0' · 0 Paris FC · 55.0' · 2.1 Auxerre · 59.0' · 0 Paris FC · 59.0' · 0 Auxerre · 64.0' · 2.1 Paris FC · 64.0' · 0 Auxerre · 68.0' · 0 Paris FC · 68.0' · 3.25 Auxerre · 72.0' · 1 Paris FC · 72.0' · 0 Auxerre · 76.0' · 2 Paris FC · 76.0' · 0 Auxerre · 80.0' · 2.25 Paris FC · 80.0' · 1 Auxerre · 84.0' · 0 Paris FC · 84.0' · 2.1 Auxerre · 88.0' · 0 Paris FC · 88.0' · 2.1 Auxerre · 93.0' · 0 Paris FC · 93.0' · 0 Auxerre · 90.0' · 0 Paris FC · 90.0' · 0 Card · 15' · Pierre Lees Melou C Card · 15' · Cameron Archer C Card · 16' · Sinaly Diomande C VAR review · 39' · Fredrik Oppegard Goal cancelledVAR Goal · 63' · Lassine Sinayoko Normal GoalG Substitution · 65' · Telli Siwe Clément Akpa ↔ Substitution · 65' · Marvin Senaya Lamine Sy ↔ Substitution · 66' · Moses Simon Luca Koleosho ↔ Substitution · 73' · Ilan Kebbal Patrick Zabi ↔ Substitution · 74' · Naouirou Ahamada Kevin Danois ↔ Substitution · 74' · Danny Namaso Remy Labeau Lascary ↔ Card · 80' · William Still C Substitution · 85' · Fredrik Oppegard Rayan Mandengue ↔ Card · 88' · Kevin Danois C Substitution · 90' · Lassine Sinayoko Omar Sissoko ↔ Substitution · 90' · Pablo Pagis Moustapha Mbow ↔

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 07:54 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy0%
Premium Expected goals 1.53 — 1.52 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Auxerre
X25%Draw
237%Paris FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Auxerre
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Auxerre.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Paris FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Paris FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Auxerre22%
Paris FC22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Auxerre16%
Paris FC16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Auxerre50%
Paris FC50%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Auxerre
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 82%
-1W 19%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Paris FC
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.80%
#22-18.40%
#31-28.35%
#41-06.59%
#50-16.55%
Combined Top 541.69%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Auxerre + BTTS21%
Paris FC + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

15' 🟥 Pierre Lees Melou
15' 🟥 Cameron Archer
16' 🟥 Sinaly Diomande
39' ⚽
63' ⚽ Lassine Sinayoko
65' 🔄 In: Clément Akpa
65' 🔄 In: Lamine Sy
66' 🔄 In: Luca Koleosho
73' 🔄 In: Patrick Zabi
74' 🔄 In: Kevin Danois
74' 🔄 In: Remy Labeau Lascary
80' 🟥 William Still
85' 🔄 In: Rayan Mandengue
88' 🟥 Kevin Danois
90' 🔄 In: Omar Sissoko
90' 🔄 In: Moustapha Mbow

Lineups

Auxerre Home
  • P. Nardi
  • M. Senaya
  • A. Tuanzebe
  • S. Diomandé
  • T. Siwe
  • N. Ahamada
  • P. Ekwah
  • F. Oppegård
  • R. Faivre
  • C. Archer
  • D. Namaso
Paris FC Away
  • K. Trapp
  • H. Traoré
  • D. Coppola
  • Otávio
  • R. Matondo
  • M. Lopez
  • P. Lees-Melou
  • M. Simon
  • I. Kebbal
  • P. Pagis
  • L. Sinayoko

Auxerre Season

Rank#14
Points10
Matches Left24

Paris FC Season

Rank#2
Points20
Matches Left24

Auxerre Last 5

Paris FC 0 - 1
Strasbourg 5 - 1
Le Mans 1 - 1
Le Havre 1 - 3
Rennes 4 - 1

Paris FC Last 5

Monaco 3 - 1
Lens 2 - 1
Rennes 4 - 3
Lorient 1 - 0
Strasbourg 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Auxerre: 2 Draws: 3 Paris FC: 0
2026 Paris FC - Auxerre
2026 Auxerre 0 - 0 Paris FC
2025 Paris FC 1 - 1 Auxerre
2024 Auxerre 2 - 0 Paris FC
2023 Paris FC 0 - 2 Auxerre

Form Analysis

Auxerre
L L D W L
Paris FC
W W L W L

Auxerre Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored5
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Paris FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored5
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

7Shots10
2Shots on Target3
1Corners5
34%Possession66%
3Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre
1.46
Paris FC
1.39

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Auxerre vs Paris FC is a Ligue 1 football match on November 7, 2026 at Stade Abbé Deschamps. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLDWL) for Auxerre and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWLWL) for Paris FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stade Abbé Deschamps

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Auxerre is currently #14 with 10 points from 10 matches, while Paris FC is #2 with 20 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Auxerre won 2, 3 were drawn and Paris FC won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Auxerre at 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Paris FC at 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.46 for Auxerre and 1.39 for Paris FC. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 0% (result: 0 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.