OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings Our data
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Us Contact Privacy
Home

FSV Mainz 05
W L W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Bayern München
W D W D W
1X2 Bayern München 57%
O/U Over 2.5 72%
DC X2 82%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
FSV Mainz 05 21% Draw 22% Bayern München 57%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?

Our prediction for the FSV Mainz 05–Bayern München match is: Bayern München to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Bayern München to win (57% confidence); over 2.5 goals (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

FSV Mainz 05

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, FSV Mainz 05 scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.

Bayern München

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bayern München scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): FSV Mainz 05 scored 2.20 and conceded 2.80 per match across 5 covered games; Bayern München scored 3.00 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Caci contributed 3 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.32/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, H. Kane contributed 2 goal(s) and 5 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.57/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Bayern München records a mean of 6.90/10 versus 6.40/10 for FSV Mainz 05.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists U. Fischer as coach of FSV Mainz 05. The latest recorded formations are FSV Mainz 05 in 3-5-2 (Oct 30, 2026) and Bayern München in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 3, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, FSV Mainz 05 averaged 50.6% possession and 16.1 shots per match (6.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, Bayern München averaged 63.5% possession and 22.4 shots (8.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, FSV Mainz 05 recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.25 points, 1.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Bayern München recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 6 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at MEWA Arena (Mainz).

FSV Mainz 05's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 3 defeats in 4 home matches, averaging 0.3 points per home match compared with 2.3 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.51 — 1.75 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

133%FSV Mainz 05
X24%Draw
243%Bayern München
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

FSV Mainz 05
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for FSV Mainz 05.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Bayern München
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bayern München.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

FSV Mainz 0517%
Bayern München22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

FSV Mainz 0513%
Bayern München18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

FSV Mainz 0543%
Bayern München57%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

FSV Mainz 05
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 24%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 20%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Bayern München
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 20%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 24%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.87%
#21-28.86%
#32-17.63%
#42-26.69%
#50-16.14%
Combined Top 540.19%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

FSV Mainz 05 + BTTS20%
Bayern München + BTTS25%
Draw + BTTS20%

FSV Mainz 05 Season

Rank#9
Points10
Matches Left26

Bayern München Season

Rank#1
Points18
Matches Left26

FSV Mainz 05 Last 5

SV Elversberg 4 - 1
Werder Bremen 2 - 3
FC Schalke 04 0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 4
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4

Bayern München Last 5

Atletico Madrid 0 - 2
Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2
SC Freiburg 1 - 3
Arsenal 2 - 2
RB Leipzig 6 - 1

Head-to-Head

FSV Mainz 05: 1 Draws: 1 Bayern München: 3
2026 FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayern München
2025 Bayern München 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05
2025 Bayern München 3 - 0 FSV Mainz 05
2024 FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 Bayern München
2024 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 4 Bayern München

Form Analysis

FSV Mainz 05
W L W L L
Bayern München
W D W D W

FSV Mainz 05 Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded10
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.50

Bayern München Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored12
Goals conceded7
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.17

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Bayern München
2.50

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München is a Bundesliga football match on November 7, 2026 at MEWA ARENA. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLWLL) for FSV Mainz 05 and 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WDWDW) for Bayern München. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 MEWA ARENA

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, FSV Mainz 05 is currently #9 with 10 points from 8 matches, while Bayern München is #1 with 18 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: FSV Mainz 05 won 1, 1 were drawn and Bayern München won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows FSV Mainz 05 at 1.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per home match, versus Bayern München at 2.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.29 for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.50 for Bayern München.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.