What is the prediction for the football match between Fulham and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Fulham–Newcastle match is: over 1.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Fulham to win (51% confidence); Fulham to win or draw (71% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)
Fulham
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Fulham scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.
Newcastle
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Newcastle scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Fulham and Newcastle average 2.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Iwobi contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.19/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, H. Barnes contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.07/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Fulham records a mean of 6.83/10 versus 6.62/10 for Newcastle.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list Alvaro Arbeloa for Fulham and E. Howe for Newcastle. The latest recorded formations are Fulham in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 31, 2026) and Newcastle in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 2, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Fulham averaged 56.9% possession and 14.9 shots per match (5.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Newcastle averaged 54.1% possession and 12.7 shots (3.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 3 recent home matches, Fulham recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. Away from home, Newcastle recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.50 points, 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Premier League fixture takes place at Craven Cottage (London).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Fulham: 1.3 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.