OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
1X2 Minnesota United FC 60%
O/U Over 2.5 69%
DC 1X 71%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Minnesota United FC 60% Draw 20% San Jose Earthquakes 20%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes?

Our prediction for the Minnesota United FC–San Jose Earthquakes match is: Minnesota United FC to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Minnesota United FC to win (60% confidence); over 2.5 goals (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Minnesota United FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Minnesota United FC scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

San Jose Earthquakes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, San Jose Earthquakes scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Minnesota United FC scored 2.20 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; San Jose Earthquakes scored 1.20 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, K. Yeboah contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.55/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Jack Jasinski contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.73/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Minnesota United FC records a mean of 6.74/10 versus 6.47/10 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists C. Knowles as coach of Minnesota United FC. The latest recorded formations are Minnesota United FC in 4-4-2 (Nov 2, 2026) and San Jose Earthquakes in 3-4-1-2 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Minnesota United FC averaged 46.2% possession and 14.4 shots per match (4.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, San Jose Earthquakes averaged 47.0% possession and 12.7 shots (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Minnesota United FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 2.33 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per match. Away from home, San Jose Earthquakes recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.17 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Allianz Field (Sao Paulo).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Minnesota United FC: 1.3 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.72 — 1.55 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Minnesota United FC
X24%Draw
234%San Jose Earthquakes
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Minnesota United FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Minnesota United FC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
San Jose Earthquakes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for San Jose Earthquakes.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Minnesota United FC21%
San Jose Earthquakes18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Minnesota United FC17%
San Jose Earthquakes13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Minnesota United FC55%
San Jose Earthquakes45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Minnesota United FC
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
San Jose Earthquakes
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.94%
#22-18.69%
#31-27.82%
#42-26.74%
#51-05.88%
Combined Top 540.07%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Minnesota United FC + BTTS25%
San Jose Earthquakes + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Minnesota United FC Season

Rank#12
Points41
Matches Left5

San Jose Earthquakes Season

Rank#3
Points52
Matches Left5

Minnesota United FC Last 5

Los Angeles FC 1 - 3
Sporting Kansas City 3 - 1
Houston Dynamo 0 - 0
St. Louis City 3 - 2
Colorado Rapids 2 - 2

San Jose Earthquakes Last 5

Real Salt Lake 2 - 1
Colorado Rapids 2 - 2
FC Dallas 3 - 0
Nashville SC 1 - 1
Real Salt Lake 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Minnesota United FC: 4 Draws: 0 San Jose Earthquakes: 1
2026 San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 5 Minnesota United FC
2026 San Jose Earthquakes 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC
2025 Minnesota United FC 4 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes
2025 San Jose Earthquakes 0 - 1 Minnesota United FC
2024 San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 2 Minnesota United FC

Form Analysis

Minnesota United FC
W W D W D
San Jose Earthquakes
W D L D D

Minnesota United FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.38
Goals scored22
Goals conceded21
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.31

San Jose Earthquakes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.63
Goals scored26
Goals conceded22
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.38

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Minnesota United FC
2.04
San Jose Earthquakes
1.57

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Allianz Field. Recent form is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDWD) for Minnesota United FC and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: WDLDD) for San Jose Earthquakes. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Allianz Field

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Minnesota United FC is currently #12 with 41 points from 33 matches, while San Jose Earthquakes is #3 with 52 points from 33. Recent head-to-head history: Minnesota United FC won 4, 0 were drawn and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Minnesota United FC at 1.38 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per home match, versus San Jose Earthquakes at 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.04 for Minnesota United FC and 1.57 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.