What is the prediction for the football match between Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes?
Our prediction for the Minnesota United FC–San Jose Earthquakes match is: Minnesota United FC to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Minnesota United FC to win (60% confidence); over 2.5 goals (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)
Minnesota United FC
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Minnesota United FC scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
San Jose Earthquakes
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, San Jose Earthquakes scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Minnesota United FC scored 2.20 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; San Jose Earthquakes scored 1.20 and conceded 1.60 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, K. Yeboah contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.55/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Jack Jasinski contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.73/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Minnesota United FC records a mean of 6.74/10 versus 6.47/10 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists C. Knowles as coach of Minnesota United FC. The latest recorded formations are Minnesota United FC in 4-4-2 (Nov 2, 2026) and San Jose Earthquakes in 3-4-1-2 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Minnesota United FC averaged 46.2% possession and 14.4 shots per match (4.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, San Jose Earthquakes averaged 47.0% possession and 12.7 shots (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 6 recent home matches, Minnesota United FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 2.33 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per match. Away from home, San Jose Earthquakes recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.17 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Allianz Field (Sao Paulo).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Minnesota United FC: 1.3 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.