OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Estac Troyes

L L L D W
1X2 Paris Saint Germain 75%
O/U Over 2.5 68%
DC 1X 91%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Paris Saint Germain 75% Draw 14% Estac Troyes 11%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes?

Our prediction for the Paris Saint Germain–Estac Troyes match is: Paris Saint Germain to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Paris Saint Germain to win (75% confidence); over 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

Paris Saint Germain

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 4.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Estac Troyes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Estac Troyes scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Paris Saint Germain scored 4.00 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Estac Troyes scored 0.60 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Hakimi contributed 3 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.46/10 across 5 rated appearances. In a recent recorded appearance, I. Boura registered 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s).

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Paris Saint Germain records a mean of 7.23/10 versus 6.58/10 for Estac Troyes.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Luis Enrique for Paris Saint Germain and D. Guion for Estac Troyes. The latest recorded formations are Paris Saint Germain in 4-3-3 (Nov 3, 2026) and Estac Troyes in 4-3-3 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Paris Saint Germain averaged 64.4% possession and 21.4 shots per match (10.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Estac Troyes averaged 39.3% possession and 14.7 shots (3.7 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Paris Saint Germain recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.40 points, 3.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. Away from home, Estac Troyes recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 0.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Parc des Princes (Paris).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Paris Saint Germain: 2.4 points per home match compared with 2.7 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.90 — 1.37 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

149%Paris Saint Germain
X24%Draw
227%Estac Troyes
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Paris Saint Germain
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Paris Saint Germain.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 57%U 43%
2.5O 30%U 70%
3.5O 13%U 87%
Estac Troyes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Estac Troyes.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Paris Saint Germain25%
Estac Troyes15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Paris Saint Germain21%
Estac Troyes11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Paris Saint Germain65%
Estac Troyes35%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Paris Saint Germain
-1.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
-1W 28%P 21%L 51%
-0.5W 49%P 0%L 51%
0W 49%P 24%L 27%
+0.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
+1W 73%P 15%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Estac Troyes
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 15%L 73%
-0.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
0W 27%P 24%L 49%
+0.5W 51%P 0%L 49%
+1W 51%P 21%L 28%
+1.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.65%
#22-19.38%
#32-06.86%
#41-26.75%
#51-06.65%
Combined Top 540.29%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Paris Saint Germain + BTTS28%
Estac Troyes + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS19%

Paris Saint Germain Season

Rank#1
Points20
Matches Left25

Estac Troyes Season

Rank#16
Points8
Matches Left25

Paris Saint Germain Last 5

Villarreal 0 - 6
Le Havre 1 - 5
Lyon 2 - 0
Barcelona 4 - 2
Strasbourg 1 - 3

Estac Troyes Last 5

Le Mans 2 - 0
Toulouse 0 - 0
Lens 1 - 3
Marseille 0 - 2
Angers 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Paris Saint Germain: 0 Draws: 1 Estac Troyes: 4
2023 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain
2022 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 3 Estac Troyes
2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 2 Estac Troyes
2021 Estac Troyes 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
2018 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain

Form Analysis

Paris Saint Germain
W W W W W
Estac Troyes
W D L L L

Paris Saint Germain Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Estac Troyes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored2
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain
2.77
Estac Troyes
0.86

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes is a Ligue 1 football match on November 7, 2026 at Parc des Princes. Recent form is 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Paris Saint Germain and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: WDLLL) for Estac Troyes. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Parc des Princes

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Paris Saint Germain is currently #1 with 20 points from 9 matches, while Estac Troyes is #16 with 8 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Paris Saint Germain won 0, 1 were drawn and Estac Troyes won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Paris Saint Germain at 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Estac Troyes at 0.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.77 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.86 for Estac Troyes.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.