What is the prediction for the football match between Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes?
Our prediction for the Paris Saint Germain–Estac Troyes match is: Paris Saint Germain to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Paris Saint Germain to win (75% confidence); over 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)
Paris Saint Germain
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 4.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.
Estac Troyes
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Estac Troyes scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Paris Saint Germain scored 4.00 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Estac Troyes scored 0.60 and conceded 1.40 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Hakimi contributed 3 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.46/10 across 5 rated appearances. In a recent recorded appearance, I. Boura registered 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s).
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Paris Saint Germain records a mean of 7.23/10 versus 6.58/10 for Estac Troyes.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list Luis Enrique for Paris Saint Germain and D. Guion for Estac Troyes. The latest recorded formations are Paris Saint Germain in 4-3-3 (Nov 3, 2026) and Estac Troyes in 4-3-3 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Paris Saint Germain averaged 64.4% possession and 21.4 shots per match (10.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Estac Troyes averaged 39.3% possession and 14.7 shots (3.7 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Paris Saint Germain recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.40 points, 3.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. Away from home, Estac Troyes recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 0.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Parc des Princes (Paris).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Paris Saint Germain: 2.4 points per home match compared with 2.7 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.